Albanese's ratings improve in a post-budget Newspoll; left to control NSW upper house

• It gave Labor a 55-45 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago.
• Primary votes were 38% Labor (steady), 34% Coalition (up one), 11% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (steady) and 10% for all Others (down one).
• Prime Minister Anthony Albanese had ratings of 57% satisfied (up four) and 38% dissatisfied (up one), for a net approval of +19, up three points.
• Analyst Kevin Bonham said this budget rated better than the average Labor budget.

Pre-budget Morgan poll: 54.5-45.5 to Labor

In last week’s edition of the weekly federal Morgan poll, conducted May 1-7, Labor led by 54.5-45.5, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous week. Primary votes were 35.5% Labor, 35.5% Coalition, 12.5% Greens and 16.5% for all Others.

Left to control NSW upper house after National becomes president

• Left-wing parties won the 21 upper house seats elected at the March 25 election by an 11-10 margin, but the right won in 2019 by 11-10, leaving the upper house tied at 21-21.
• Read more:
  Labor gains in Newspoll but Voice support slumps in other polls; NSW final results and Queensland polls

  The president of the NSW upper house can only vote to break a tie.

• In last Tuesday’s first parliamentary session since the election, National Ben Franklin nominated for and was elected upper house president.

NSW final two party result: 54.3-45.7 to Labor

• The NSW electoral commission has released a Labor vs Coalition two party result for all seats at the March 25 election.
• Labor won the statewide two party vote by a 54.3-45.7 margin over the Coalition, a 6.3% swing to Labor since the 2019 election.
• Read more:
  Labor two seats short of a majority in final NSW lower house results, plus a polling critique

  Labor’s two party share is 0.4% higher than that estimated by the ABC before the release of this final data.

• That makes Newspoll easily the most accurate pollster on two party votes with Labor at 54.5% two party, with Morgan the next best at 53.5%.

Tasmanian Liberal government falls into minority

Tasmania has the last Liberal government left in any Australian jurisdiction. On Friday, two Liberal MPs quit to sit as independents, partially over opposition to the proposed $715 million AFL stadium in Hobart. As a result, the Liberals have been reduced from 13 to 11 seats in the 25-member Tasmanian lower house, and are two short of the 13 needed for a majority. Labor has eight seats, the Greens two and there are two independents.