Inflation is down overall, so why are my grocery bills still going up?
The Consumer Price Index slowed to 2.8 per cent in June compared to last year, but food prices increased by 8.3 per cent.
- The Consumer Price Index slowed to 2.8 per cent in June compared to last year, but food prices increased by 8.3 per cent.
- The gap between general inflation and food prices is puzzling — and frustrating — for many, especially because the Bank of Canada’s interest rate hikes don’t seem to be affecting food prices at all.
- But food prices don’t respond to interest rate policies as much as other factors do.
Competition Bureau report
- Canada’s competition watchdog, the Competition Bureau, recently released a report that called for more competition in the Canadian food retail market.
- The report suggested that more competition might help high food prices in Canada.
- However, the Competition Bureau’s report ignored this, instead focusing on individual profit growth, which was similar for all three major brands.
Foreign competition
- The Competition Bureau’s report also suggested that more foreign competition would benefit Canadian consumers, but that foreign competitors viewed the Canadian market as tough to break into.
- A spokesperson from the Retail Council of Canada said foreign competitors didn’t feel they would be able to compete when it comes to prices.
- Given this, it’s difficult to see how foreign competition would actually help bring prices down.
No single cause for food inflation
- The reality is that there isn’t a single cause for food price increases in Canada; there are a combination of factors that affect different food categories.
- Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a significant impact on the prices of wheat and edible oils.
- India curtailed wheat exports, Argentina limited wheat and soybean oil and Indonesia limited palm oil exports.
A perfect storm
- Flooding in California’s Salinas Valley caused disruptions in lettuce and tomato production, leading to higher prices for these products.
- Europe had price increases and product shortages this winter due to bad weather conditions in northern Africa and southern Europe.
- All these factors are happening simultaneously to create a perfect storm of food price increases.